{"id":33837,"date":"2025-09-22T03:53:59","date_gmt":"2025-09-21T20:53:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/lib\/?p=33837"},"modified":"2025-09-22T04:07:06","modified_gmt":"2025-09-21T21:07:06","slug":"stik4243-analisis-runtun-waktu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/lib\/stik4243-analisis-runtun-waktu\/","title":{"rendered":"STIK4243 &#8211; Analisis Runtun Waktu"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[av_layout_row border=&#8221; min_height_percent=&#8221; min_height=&#8217;0&#8242; color=&#8217;main_color&#8217; mobile=&#8217;av-flex-cells&#8217; id=&#8221; av_element_hidden_in_editor=&#8217;0&#8242; mobile_breaking=&#8221; av-desktop-hide=&#8221; av-medium-hide=&#8221; av-small-hide=&#8221; av-mini-hide=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[av_cell_one_fifth vertical_align=&#8217;top&#8217; padding=&#8217;30px&#8217; background_color=&#8221; src=&#8221; background_attachment=&#8217;scroll&#8217; background_position=&#8217;top left&#8217; background_repeat=&#8217;no-repeat&#8217; mobile_display=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/av_cell_one_fifth][av_cell_three_fifth vertical_align=&#8217;top&#8217; padding=&#8217;30px&#8217; padding_sync=&#8217;true&#8217; background_color=&#8217;#f4f3f2&#8242; src=&#8221; attachment=&#8221; attachment_size=&#8221; background_attachment=&#8217;scroll&#8217; background_position=&#8217;top left&#8217; background_repeat=&#8217;no-repeat&#8217; mobile_display=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[av_one_fifth first min_height=&#8221; vertical_alignment=&#8221; space=&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221; margin=&#8217;0px&#8217; padding=&#8217;0px&#8217; border=&#8221; border_color=&#8221; radius=&#8217;0px&#8217; background_color=&#8221; src=&#8221; background_position=&#8217;top left&#8217; background_repeat=&#8217;no-repeat&#8217; animation=&#8221; mobile_breaking=&#8221; mobile_display=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[av_image src=&#8217;http:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/lib\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/STIK4243.webp&#8217; attachment=&#8217;33831&#8242; attachment_size=&#8217;full&#8217; align=&#8217;center&#8217; styling=&#8221; hover=&#8221; link=&#8217;lightbox&#8217; target=&#8221; caption=&#8221; font_size=&#8221; appearance=&#8221; overlay_opacity=&#8217;0.4&#8242; overlay_color=&#8217;#000000&#8242; overlay_text_color=&#8217;#ffffff&#8217; animation=&#8217;no-animation&#8217; admin_preview_bg=&#8221;][\/av_image]<\/p>\n<p>[av_button label=&#8217;FULLTEXT STIK4243&#8242; link=&#8217;manually,https:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/reader\/index.php?modul=STIK4243&#8242; link_target=&#8217;_blank&#8217; size=&#8217;small&#8217; position=&#8217;center&#8217; icon_select=&#8217;yes&#8217; icon=&#8217;ue85d&#8217; font=&#8217;entypo-fontello&#8217; color=&#8217;theme-color&#8217; custom_bg=&#8217;#444444&#8242; custom_font=&#8217;#ffffff&#8217; admin_preview_bg=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[av_textblock size=&#8221; font_color=&#8221; color=&#8221; av-medium-font-size=&#8221; av-small-font-size=&#8221; av-mini-font-size=&#8221; admin_preview_bg=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>Untuk menggunakan layanan RBV secara fulltext, Anda gunakan login yang teraktivasi pada UT-Online (http:\/\/elearning.ut.ac.id) dan terdaftar sebagai mahasiswa Universitas Terbuka<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>[\/av_textblock]<\/p>\n<p>[av_button label=&#8217; elearning.ut.ac.id&#8217; link=&#8217;manually,http:\/\/elearning.ut.ac.id&#8217; link_target=&#8221; size=&#8217;small&#8217; position=&#8217;center&#8217; icon_select=&#8217;yes&#8217; icon=&#8217;ue836&#8242; font=&#8217;entypo-fontello&#8217; color=&#8217;theme-color&#8217; custom_bg=&#8217;#444444&#8242; custom_font=&#8217;#ffffff&#8217; admin_preview_bg=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[\/av_one_fifth][av_three_fifth min_height=&#8221; vertical_alignment=&#8221; space=&#8221; custom_margin=&#8221; margin=&#8217;0px&#8217; padding=&#8217;0px&#8217; border=&#8221; border_color=&#8221; radius=&#8217;0px&#8217; background_color=&#8221; src=&#8221; background_position=&#8217;top left&#8217; background_repeat=&#8217;no-repeat&#8217; animation=&#8221; mobile_breaking=&#8221; mobile_display=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>[av_heading tag=&#8217;h3&#8242; padding=&#8217;10&#8217; heading=&#8217;STIK4243 &#8211; Analisis Runtun Waktu&#8217; color=&#8221; style=&#8221; custom_font=&#8221; size=&#8221; subheading_active=&#8221; subheading_size=&#8217;15&#8217; custom_class=&#8221; admin_preview_bg=&#8221; av-desktop-hide=&#8221; av-medium-hide=&#8221; av-small-hide=&#8221; av-mini-hide=&#8221; av-medium-font-size-title=&#8221; av-small-font-size-title=&#8221; av-mini-font-size-title=&#8221; av-medium-font-size=&#8221; av-small-font-size=&#8221; av-mini-font-size=&#8221;][\/av_heading]<\/p>\n<p>[av_textblock size=&#8221; font_color=&#8221; color=&#8221; av-medium-font-size=&#8221; av-small-font-size=&#8221; av-mini-font-size=&#8221; admin_preview_bg=&#8221;]<br \/>\n<strong>Irlan Soelaeman<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Edisi 1 \/ 3 SKS \/ 9 Modul<\/li>\n<li>314 Halaman: ilustrasi; 27 cm<\/li>\n<li>ISBN 9786231536129<\/li>\n<li>ISBN (E) 9786231536136<\/li>\n<li>Tangerang Selatan: Universitas Terbuka, 2025<\/li>\n<li>Kelas DDC [23] 519.55<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/av_textblock]<\/p>\n<p>[av_textblock size=&#8221; font_color=&#8221; color=&#8221; av-medium-font-size=&#8221; av-small-font-size=&#8221; av-mini-font-size=&#8221; admin_preview_bg=&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Buku Materi Pokok (BMP) STIK4243 Analisis Runtun Waktu ini disajikan bebagai konsep dasar analisis runtun waktu dan penggunaan metode Univariate Box-Jenkins (UBJ) pada berbagai contoh pola data. Mulai dari bagaimana membangun sebuah model ARIMA langkah-demi-langkah: mulai dari tahap identifikasi estimasi dan diagnostic checking hingga melakukan peramalan untuk pola data stasioner non-stasioner dan musiman. Materi-materi dalam modul ini dapat dipahami dengan baik selama Anda melaksanakan semua kegiatan belajar pada setiap modul membacanya secara cermat mengerjakan semua pertanyaan latihan dan tes formatif serta memberikan feedback hasil kegiatan belajar tersebut. Selanjutnya Anda juga perlu untuk meningkatkan intensitas belajar Anda dengan berdiskusi dan memanfaatkan media sumber belajar lainnya yang relevan.<\/p>\n<p>[\/av_textblock]<\/p>\n<p>[av_tab_container position=&#8217;top_tab&#8217; boxed=&#8217;border_tabs&#8217; initial=&#8217;1&#8242;]<br \/>\n[av_tab title=&#8217;Tinjauan Mata Kuliah&#8217; icon_select=&#8217;no&#8217; icon=&#8217;ue800&#8242; font=&#8217;entypo-fontello&#8217;]<br \/>\n[pdf-embedder url=&#8221;https:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/lib\/wp-content\/uploads\/pdfmk\/STIK4243-TM.pdf&#8221;]<br \/>\n[\/av_tab]<br \/>\n[av_tab title=&#8217;Daftar Isi&#8217; icon_select=&#8217;no&#8217; icon=&#8217;ue800&#8242; font=&#8217;entypo-fontello&#8217;]<br \/>\n[pdf-embedder url=&#8221;https:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/lib\/wp-content\/uploads\/pdfmk\/STIK4243-DI.pdf&#8221;]<br \/>\n[\/av_tab]<br \/>\n[av_tab title=&#8217;Katalog Dalam Terbitan&#8217; icon_select=&#8217;no&#8217; icon=&#8217;ue800&#8242; font=&#8217;entypo-fontello&#8217;]<br \/>\n[pdf-embedder url=&#8221;https:\/\/pustaka.ut.ac.id\/lib\/wp-content\/uploads\/pdfmk\/STIK4243-KDT.pdf&#8221;]<br \/>\n[\/av_tab]<br \/>\n[\/av_tab_container]<\/p>\n<p>[\/av_three_fifth][av_one_fifth min_height=&#8221; 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